Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0907:40Wrigley Field

Cardinals

Away

3-1

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	6	0
Cubs	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-6pp

7–9 Late

49%

-3pp

F5 first five

58%

-1pp

F9 full game

54%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 156Runs Allowed 175

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 168Runs Allowed 122

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#146% 16/35	17% 6/35	#234% 12/35	#331% 11/35	11% 4/35	26% 9/35	26% 9/35	26% 9/35	30% 9/30	33% 1/3
Cardinals	RA	31% 11/35	#143% 15/35	29% 10/35	#337% 13/35	17% 6/35	29% 10/35	#243% 15/35	20% 7/35	16% 4/25	100% 3/3
Cubs	R	#332% 11/34	26% 9/34	24% 8/34	32% 11/34	#135% 12/34	29% 10/34	21% 7/34	#235% 12/34	24% 6/25	50% 3/6
Cubs	RA	21% 7/34	#329% 10/34	#138% 13/34	29% 10/34	9% 3/34	15% 5/34	29% 10/34	21% 7/34	#231% 9/29	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.