Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0906:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

3-0

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	7	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 57%

Opponent allowing 12%

Orioles scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 16%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

40%R 55% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp

Last 20 65% · Season 71% · -6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

55%

-4pp

F9 full game

54%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 225Runs Allowed 110

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 186Runs Allowed 157

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#243% 15/35	29% 10/35	31% 11/35	#343% 15/35	31% 11/35	34% 12/35	31% 11/35	40% 14/35	#153% 10/19	100% 2/2
Rays	RA	#323% 8/35	#229% 10/35	17% 6/35	#131% 11/35	23% 8/35	20% 7/35	23% 8/35	14% 5/35	22% 7/32	0% 0/2
Orioles	R	21% 7/34	24% 8/34	#238% 13/34	#144% 15/34	#329% 10/34	29% 10/34	29% 10/34	26% 9/34	25% 7/28	60% 3/5
Orioles	RA	#138% 13/34	29% 10/34	#232% 11/34	24% 8/34	29% 10/34	#332% 11/34	26% 9/34	29% 10/34	21% 6/29	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.