Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0802:20Wrigley Field

Marlins

Away

5-4

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	5	9	0
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Inn.8

Marlins scoring tendency

12%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 10%

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Cubs offense × Marlins defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 73% · Season 64% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-5pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

56%

-3pp

F9 full game

52%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 111Runs Allowed 168

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 164Runs Allowed 117

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	18% 6/34	18% 6/34	#132% 11/34	21% 7/34	15% 5/34	#324% 8/34	#226% 9/34	24% 8/34	12% 3/25	67% 2/3
Marlins	RA	26% 9/34	26% 9/34	#332% 11/34	32% 11/34	#135% 12/34	32% 11/34	#235% 12/34	32% 11/34	24% 6/25	33% 1/3
Cubs	R	#333% 11/33	27% 9/33	24% 8/33	33% 11/33	#136% 12/33	30% 10/33	21% 7/33	#236% 12/33	21% 5/24	100% 1/1
Cubs	RA	21% 7/33	#330% 10/33	#139% 13/33	30% 10/33	6% 2/33	15% 5/33	30% 10/33	18% 6/33	#232% 9/28	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.