Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0802:15Busch Stadium

Tigers

Away

6-12

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	6	8	4
Cardinals	1	1	1	0	0	7	0	2	X	12	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Tigers scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Tigers scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.3

Tigers scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Cardinals offense × Tigers defense

25%R 20% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 65% · Season 59% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

45%

-11pp

7–9 Late

43%

-10pp

F5 first five

57%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 115Runs Allowed 150

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 144Runs Allowed 169

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	25% 8/32	#128% 9/32	25% 8/32	16% 5/32	#228% 9/32	19% 6/32	22% 7/32	#328% 9/32	19% 5/27	44% 4/9
Tigers	RA	19% 6/32	#331% 10/32	#238% 12/32	#141% 13/32	22% 7/32	19% 6/32	19% 6/32	31% 10/32	28% 7/25	44% 4/9
Cardinals	R	#144% 15/34	15% 5/34	#232% 11/34	#332% 11/34	12% 4/34	24% 8/34	26% 9/34	24% 8/34	30% 9/30	33% 1/3
Cardinals	RA	32% 11/34	#144% 15/34	29% 10/34	#335% 12/34	18% 6/34	26% 9/34	#244% 15/34	21% 7/34	17% 4/24	100% 3/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.