Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0801:40Progressive Field

Twins

Away

0-2

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Guardians	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	2	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Twins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Twins scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.4

Twins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Guardians defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Guardians offense × Twins defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-15pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-0pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

46%

-12pp

F9 full game

50%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 152Runs Allowed 124

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 120Runs Allowed 140

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	21% 7/34	24% 8/34	29% 10/34	#235% 12/34	18% 6/34	#141% 14/34	#332% 11/34	21% 7/34	12% 3/26	57% 4/7
Twins	RA	#229% 10/34	15% 5/34	24% 8/34	24% 8/34	21% 7/34	15% 5/34	#326% 9/34	24% 8/34	#137% 10/27	57% 4/7
Guardians	R	#327% 9/33	18% 6/33	15% 5/33	#136% 12/33	18% 6/33	18% 6/33	#233% 11/33	15% 5/33	21% 6/29	75% 6/8
Guardians	RA	#236% 12/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	#327% 9/33	#139% 13/33	21% 7/33	18% 6/33	25% 7/28	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.