Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0709:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

5-7

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	5	9	1
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	X	7	12	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 5%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cooling downCombined vs league -13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

22%R 25% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league -2pp

Last 20 57% · Season 52% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

41%

-15pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

44%

-14pp

F9 full game

46%

-10pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 143Runs Allowed 119

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 138Runs Allowed 131

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#234% 11/32	16% 5/32	31% 10/32	25% 8/32	19% 6/32	12% 4/32	31% 10/32	#334% 11/32	#142% 10/24	67% 2/3
Astros	RA	22% 7/32	22% 7/32	16% 5/32	22% 7/32	#328% 9/32	#234% 11/32	16% 5/32	#138% 12/32	23% 7/30	67% 2/3
Mariners	R	#128% 9/32	#228% 9/32	#325% 8/32	25% 8/32	19% 6/32	25% 8/32	19% 6/32	22% 7/32	20% 5/25	50% 5/10
Mariners	RA	#328% 9/32	#138% 12/32	#231% 10/32	22% 7/32	22% 7/32	25% 8/32	25% 8/32	12% 4/32	25% 7/28	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.