Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0704:10Tropicana Field

Yankees

Away

3-2

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8	0
Rays	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 18%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 57%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.6

Yankees scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Rays defense

28%R 38% · RA 18%

Rays offense × Yankees defense

43%R 57% · RA 29%

Sample 14Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 73% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-7pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

49%

-10pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 130Runs Allowed 127

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 100

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	#230% 10/33	15% 5/33	#327% 9/33	24% 8/33	27% 9/33	24% 8/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	#144% 11/25	100% 2/2
Yankees	RA	#230% 10/33	15% 5/33	#327% 9/33	18% 6/33	18% 6/33	#133% 11/33	27% 9/33	21% 7/33	20% 5/25	0% 0/2
Rays	R	#342% 14/33	30% 10/33	33% 11/33	#245% 15/33	30% 10/33	33% 11/33	33% 11/33	42% 14/33	#159% 10/17	100% 1/1
Rays	RA	#324% 8/33	#130% 10/33	15% 5/33	#230% 10/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	12% 4/33	23% 7/30	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.