Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0702:20Wrigley Field

Marlins

Away

2-4

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	2
Cubs	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	X	4	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.4

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Marlins defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-5pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

54%

-5pp

F9 full game

51%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 109Runs Allowed 164

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 160Runs Allowed 115

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	15% 5/33	18% 6/33	#130% 10/33	21% 7/33	15% 5/33	#324% 8/33	#227% 9/33	24% 8/33	12% 3/24	67% 2/3
Marlins	RA	27% 9/33	27% 9/33	#333% 11/33	30% 10/33	#136% 12/33	33% 11/33	#236% 12/33	30% 10/33	24% 6/25	33% 1/3
Cubs	R	#234% 11/32	28% 9/32	25% 8/32	31% 10/32	#138% 12/32	31% 10/32	22% 7/32	#334% 11/32	21% 5/24	100% 1/1
Cubs	RA	19% 6/32	#331% 10/32	#138% 12/32	31% 10/32	6% 2/32	16% 5/32	31% 10/32	19% 6/32	#233% 9/27	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.