Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0607:20Truist Park

Orioles

Away

9-4

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	1	1	0	0	7	0	0	9	12	0
Braves	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	11	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 32%

Braves scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.8

Orioles scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 26%

Braves scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 42%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Braves defense

28%R 25% · RA 32%

Braves offense × Orioles defense

36%R 37% · RA 35%

Sample 19Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 64% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

56%

-3pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 171Runs Allowed 145

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 176Runs Allowed 117

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	23% 7/31	26% 8/31	#139% 12/31	#239% 12/31	#332% 10/31	29% 9/31	29% 9/31	29% 9/31	28% 7/25	100% 2/2
Orioles	RA	#135% 11/31	#332% 10/31	32% 10/31	23% 7/31	29% 9/31	#235% 11/31	29% 9/31	26% 8/31	22% 6/27	50% 1/2
Braves	R	#141% 13/32	34% 11/32	34% 11/32	#238% 12/32	34% 11/32	26% 8/31	23% 7/31	#335% 11/31	19% 5/26	100% 1/1
Braves	RA	#328% 9/32	19% 6/32	28% 9/32	25% 8/32	22% 7/32	#229% 9/31	23% 7/31	26% 8/31	#136% 10/28	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.