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Final
2023-05-0602:20Wrigley Field
1-4
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 73% · Season 65% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
55%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
08162432121019192122031314472551225616167182087792410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 108Runs Allowed 160

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
09192838151311419219153151142145181261314730108101691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 114
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR16% 5/3219% 6/32#131% 10/3222% 7/3216% 5/3222% 7/32#228% 9/32#325% 8/3213% 3/2367% 2/3
RA25% 8/3228% 9/32#234% 11/3231% 10/32#334% 11/3234% 11/32#138% 12/3228% 9/3224% 6/2533% 1/3
CubsR#232% 10/3129% 9/3126% 8/31#332% 10/31#135% 11/3132% 10/3123% 7/3132% 10/3121% 5/24100% 1/1
RA19% 6/31#332% 10/31#139% 12/3132% 10/316% 2/3113% 4/3132% 10/3119% 6/31#235% 9/260% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.