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Final
2023-05-0501:10Tropicana Field
2-3
Rays
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Pirates000000002240
Rays01010001X351

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cooling downCombined vs league -2pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Rays defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Pirates defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 77% · Season 76% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
57%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
08172534242512792131732684141451912611137814812694210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 158Runs Allowed 120

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
091928383010120142257322134281552476221071858171391 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 207Runs Allowed 94
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#242% 13/31#145% 14/31#335% 11/3135% 11/3116% 5/3132% 10/3119% 6/3119% 6/3130% 7/23100% 2/2
RA#142% 13/3116% 5/31#326% 8/3119% 6/31#229% 9/3126% 8/3123% 7/3126% 8/3116% 4/2550% 1/2
RaysR#342% 13/3126% 8/3132% 10/31#245% 14/3132% 10/3135% 11/3132% 10/3142% 13/31#159% 10/17100% 1/1
RA#326% 8/31#132% 10/3116% 5/31#232% 10/3123% 7/3119% 6/3123% 7/3113% 4/3121% 6/280% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.