Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0309:40Petco Park

Reds

Away

2-1

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	6	1
Padres	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Padres scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense

22%R 15% · RA 30%

Padres offense × Reds defense

48%R 35% · RA 60%

Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp

Last 20 70% · Season 75% · -5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

64%

+5pp

F9 full game

57%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 128Runs Allowed 147

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 129Runs Allowed 137

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	28% 8/29	24% 7/29	#141% 12/29	24% 7/29	31% 9/29	14% 4/29	21% 6/29	#334% 10/29	#236% 8/22	100% 1/1
Reds	RA	#155% 16/29	28% 8/29	31% 9/29	#338% 11/29	28% 8/29	24% 7/29	31% 9/29	24% 7/29	#243% 9/21	100% 1/1
Padres	R	#237% 11/30	27% 8/30	23% 7/30	33% 10/30	#337% 11/30	20% 6/30	13% 4/30	#140% 12/30	22% 5/23	0% 0/1
Padres	RA	#330% 9/30	30% 9/30	23% 7/30	#237% 11/30	#140% 12/30	17% 5/30	30% 9/30	27% 8/30	16% 4/25	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.