Sportify
Final
2023-05-0307:10Fenway Park
6-7
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000060000680
Red Sox01112101X7140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Red Sox defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Red Sox offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 65% · Season 68% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
58%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
091827371129118821416318154119517861757192388894310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 137Runs Allowed 124

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
0918273720291171422715311244172752576141972268111295310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.81.62.33.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 169Runs Allowed 156
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR21% 6/29#334% 10/2924% 7/29#138% 11/2921% 6/2931% 9/2931% 9/29#238% 11/2923% 5/2275% 3/4
RA#231% 9/2917% 5/29#331% 9/2931% 9/2910% 3/2917% 5/2910% 3/29#138% 11/2926% 6/2350% 2/4
Red SoxR#240% 12/3030% 9/30#337% 11/3023% 7/3033% 10/30#147% 14/3027% 8/3027% 8/3033% 8/24100% 2/2
RA#143% 13/3033% 10/3027% 8/30#240% 12/30#340% 12/3017% 5/3037% 11/3017% 5/3022% 5/23100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.