Sportify
Final
2023-05-0307:05Nationals Park
Cubs
Away
1-4
Team123456789RHE
Cubs000000100181
Nationals00100030X490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Nationals defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Nationals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 77% · Season 77% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
60%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
08172534141311415219143151142145181261210727108101591 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 151Runs Allowed 104

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
071421291712119122101931423479592061113713785209ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 105Runs Allowed 135
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR32% 9/2832% 9/2829% 8/28#236% 10/28#139% 11/28#336% 10/2821% 6/2832% 9/2824% 5/21100% 1/1
RA21% 6/2829% 8/28#139% 11/28#236% 10/287% 2/2814% 4/2829% 8/2821% 6/28#332% 8/250% 0/1
NationalsR#229% 8/28#143% 12/2821% 6/28#329% 8/2818% 5/2814% 4/2829% 8/2821% 6/2816% 4/25-
RA21% 6/2836% 10/28#339% 11/28#154% 15/2825% 7/2832% 9/2825% 7/2818% 5/28#241% 9/22-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.