Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-0207:05Nationals Park

Cubs

Away

5-1

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	5	10	0
Nationals	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Nationals defense

48%R 40% · RA 55%

Nationals offense × Cubs defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 82% · Season 80% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

60%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+5pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

62%

+3pp

F9 full game

57%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 146Runs Allowed 103

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 104Runs Allowed 130

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 8/27	33% 9/27	30% 8/27	#137% 10/27	#237% 10/27	#337% 10/27	22% 6/27	33% 9/27	20% 4/20	100% 1/1
Cubs	RA	22% 6/27	26% 7/27	#141% 11/27	#237% 10/27	7% 2/27	15% 4/27	30% 8/27	22% 6/27	#333% 8/24	0% 0/1
Nationals	R	#230% 8/27	#141% 11/27	22% 6/27	#330% 8/27	19% 5/27	15% 4/27	30% 8/27	22% 6/27	17% 4/24	-
Nationals	RA	19% 5/27	37% 10/27	#241% 11/27	#156% 15/27	22% 6/27	33% 9/27	26% 7/27	19% 5/27	#338% 8/21	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.