Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-04-3005:10

Phillies

Away

6-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0	6	12	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.9

Phillies scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 36%

Opponent allowing 11%

Astros scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 24%

Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Astros defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Astros offense × Phillies defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

45%

-11pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

54%

-4pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 117Runs Allowed 125

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

26 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 123Runs Allowed 97

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#237% 10/27	26% 7/27	#337% 10/27	37% 10/27	#141% 11/27	15% 4/27	33% 9/27	22% 6/27	25% 5/20	0% 0/1
Phillies	RA	#137% 10/27	11% 3/27	#233% 9/27	26% 7/27	#333% 9/27	22% 6/27	22% 6/27	19% 5/27	26% 5/19	100% 1/1
Astros	R	#235% 9/26	15% 4/26	#335% 9/26	23% 6/26	15% 4/26	15% 4/26	35% 9/26	35% 9/26	#145% 9/20	67% 2/3
Astros	RA	23% 6/26	23% 6/26	15% 4/26	19% 5/26	#327% 7/26	#135% 9/26	15% 4/26	#231% 8/26	25% 6/24	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.