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Final
2023-04-2807:10Citi Field
8-9
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals001002050881
Mets01030302X9161

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 72% · Season 71% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
60%
+1pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
05101520159115927163121547756116111278384159ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 85Runs Allowed 97

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
071421294161141721243147421235101261887511814491 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 113Runs Allowed 102
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#330% 7/23#143% 10/2317% 4/2330% 7/2322% 5/239% 2/23#235% 8/2322% 5/2314% 3/21-
RA17% 4/2330% 7/23#239% 9/23#152% 12/2326% 6/2326% 6/2326% 6/2313% 3/23#333% 6/18-
MetsR12% 3/2532% 8/2532% 8/2528% 7/25#236% 9/2532% 8/25#336% 9/2512% 3/25#138% 8/21100% 1/1
RA#332% 8/25#136% 9/2516% 4/2516% 4/25#236% 9/2524% 6/2520% 5/2528% 7/2516% 3/190% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.