Sportify
Final
2023-04-2707:40Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
5-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Padres000200201590
Cubs000210000380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
62%
+3pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
0715223017151792129311114131459116511712248669 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 92Runs Allowed 111

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
08162432128191321710312741745151261077258891391 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 127Runs Allowed 82
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#136% 9/2524% 6/2524% 6/2528% 7/25#232% 8/2524% 6/258% 2/25#332% 8/2519% 4/210% 0/1
RA#232% 8/2528% 7/2520% 5/2528% 7/25#140% 10/2520% 5/2528% 7/25#332% 8/2519% 4/21100% 1/1
CubsR#136% 8/2232% 7/2227% 6/22#236% 8/22#336% 8/2236% 8/2218% 4/2236% 8/2225% 4/16100% 1/1
RA23% 5/2227% 6/22#136% 8/22#232% 7/229% 2/2218% 4/2227% 6/2218% 4/22#329% 6/210% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.