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Final
2023-04-2707:10Citi Field
4-1
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals020000110481
Mets001000000143

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#2
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp
Last 20 68% · Season 66% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
60%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
0491419159113927153121547756116101277384159ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 81Runs Allowed 96

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
071421294161141521143147421235101261877510814491 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 112Runs Allowed 98
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#232% 7/22#141% 9/2218% 4/22#332% 7/2223% 5/229% 2/2232% 7/2218% 4/2215% 3/20-
RA18% 4/2232% 7/22#236% 8/22#155% 12/2227% 6/2227% 6/2227% 6/2214% 3/22#335% 6/17-
MetsR12% 3/2433% 8/2429% 7/2429% 7/24#238% 9/2433% 8/24#338% 9/2412% 3/24#140% 8/20100% 1/1
RA#233% 8/24#333% 8/2417% 4/2417% 4/24#138% 9/2425% 6/2417% 4/2425% 6/2417% 3/180% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.