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Final
2023-04-2607:10Citi Field
5-0
Mets
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Nationals0110030005110
Mets000000000051

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 70% · Season 69% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+5pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
61%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
0491419159112926153121547753116101277384159ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 76Runs Allowed 96

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
07142129416114142113314742123510961877510814491 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 112Runs Allowed 93
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#233% 7/21#138% 8/2114% 3/21#333% 7/2124% 5/215% 1/2133% 7/2119% 4/2116% 3/19-
RA19% 4/2133% 7/21#238% 8/21#157% 12/2129% 6/2129% 6/2129% 6/2114% 3/21#338% 6/16-
MetsR13% 3/2335% 8/2330% 7/2330% 7/23#239% 9/2335% 8/23#339% 9/2313% 3/23#142% 8/19100% 1/1
RA#235% 8/23#330% 7/2313% 3/2317% 4/23#139% 9/2322% 5/2317% 4/2326% 6/2318% 3/170% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.