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Final
2023-04-2302:10Target Field
10-4
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals22010030210151
Twins001010200490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 10%
Twins scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 58%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 16%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 15%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Twins defense
21%R 32% · RA 10%
Twins offense × Nationals defense
41%R 25% · RA 58%
Sample 19Combined vs league -1pp
Last 20 62% · Season 62% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
53%
-5pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
049141912911092614311134755311671077382159ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 65Runs Allowed 89

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
05101520167194211163654385103611579984795410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 84Runs Allowed 68
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR26% 5/19#137% 7/1916% 3/19#232% 6/1926% 5/195% 1/19#332% 6/1921% 4/1912% 2/17-
RA21% 4/19#337% 7/1937% 7/19#158% 11/1921% 4/1932% 6/1926% 5/1916% 3/19#240% 6/15-
TwinsR#325% 5/2020% 4/2025% 5/2025% 5/2015% 3/20#135% 7/20#235% 7/2020% 4/2017% 3/18100% 3/3
RA#325% 5/2015% 3/20#235% 7/2010% 2/2025% 5/2015% 3/2015% 3/2025% 5/20#140% 6/1567% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.