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Final
2023-04-2208:10Target Field
3-2
Twins
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Nationals000000120360
Twins002000000261

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 11%
Twins scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 61%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 12%
Opponent allowing 43%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 18%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 16%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 39%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Twins defense
22%R 33% · RA 11%
Twins offense × Nationals defense
44%R 26% · RA 61%
Sample 18Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 66% · Season 66% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
55%
-4pp
F9 full game
52%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
049141912911092612311134755311661075382159ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 87

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0510152016719429163654385103611479784795410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 82Runs Allowed 65
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#328% 5/18#139% 7/1817% 3/18#233% 6/1828% 5/186% 1/1828% 5/1817% 3/1812% 2/16-
RA22% 4/18#339% 7/1833% 6/18#161% 11/1822% 4/1833% 6/1828% 5/1817% 3/18#243% 6/14-
TwinsR#326% 5/1921% 4/1921% 4/1926% 5/1916% 3/19#137% 7/19#237% 7/1921% 4/1918% 3/17100% 3/3
RA#326% 5/1916% 3/19#237% 7/1911% 2/1926% 5/1916% 3/1911% 2/1921% 4/19#143% 6/1467% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.