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Final
2023-04-1908:10
4-2
Astros
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Astros000000020280

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 41%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 41%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 18%
Astros scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 53%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 18%
Astros scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 41%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
41%R 41% · RA 41%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 29% · RA 41%
Sample 17Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 76% · Season 76% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
65%
+11pp
F5 first five
58%
-3pp
F9 full game
59%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
0714212972318427133815499510461257131185493110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 82Runs Allowed 89

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
051116221231611213538447654961777813891092410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 86Runs Allowed 72
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 4/17#335% 6/1724% 4/17#141% 7/1729% 5/1729% 5/1735% 6/17#241% 7/1721% 3/14100% 2/2
RA#241% 7/1712% 2/17#341% 7/17#153% 9/1718% 3/1718% 3/1718% 3/1741% 7/1717% 2/1250% 1/2
AstrosR29% 5/1718% 3/17#247% 8/1735% 6/1718% 3/1718% 3/17#347% 8/1729% 5/17#150% 6/1267% 2/3
RA18% 3/17#335% 6/1718% 3/1718% 3/1724% 4/1735% 6/1712% 2/17#141% 7/17#238% 6/1667% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.