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Final
2023-04-1808:10
2-9
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays010000010251
Astros70100100X9100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 19%
Astros scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 56%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 38%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 17%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
31%R 44% · RA 19%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
47%R 38% · RA 56%
Sample 16Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 78% · Season 78% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
57%
-1pp
7–9 Late
66%
+12pp
F5 first five
57%
-3pp
F9 full game
59%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
0510152071617427123815499510361257121185493110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 80Runs Allowed 80

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
05111622531610212538447653961777812891092410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 77Runs Allowed 70
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 4/1631% 5/1625% 4/16#144% 7/1631% 5/1631% 5/16#238% 6/16#338% 6/1623% 3/13100% 2/2
RA#338% 6/1612% 2/1638% 6/16#156% 9/1619% 3/1612% 2/1619% 3/16#244% 7/1617% 2/1250% 1/2
AstrosR25% 4/1619% 3/16#344% 7/1638% 6/1619% 3/1612% 2/16#150% 8/1631% 5/16#250% 6/1267% 2/3
RA19% 3/1631% 5/1619% 3/1619% 3/1625% 4/16#238% 6/1612% 2/16#338% 6/16#140% 6/1567% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.