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Final
2024-03-2704:10Petco Park
7-6
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners210000103780
Padres200000301671

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Mariners scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Mariners scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 75% · Season 66% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+5pp
7–9 Late
49%
-6pp
F5 first five
66%
+4pp
F9 full game
60%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
011233547231713118222243321442117515376161872019815169ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 195Runs Allowed 180

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
06132027918111102128315947125162161267658779ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 95Runs Allowed 96
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#339% 12/3139% 12/3123% 7/31#155% 17/31#245% 14/3126% 8/3129% 9/3129% 9/3128% 7/25-
RA23% 7/3132% 10/31#239% 12/3126% 8/3126% 8/31#155% 17/3126% 8/3126% 8/31#338% 10/26-
PadresR29% 6/2129% 6/21#238% 8/21#143% 9/2114% 3/21#333% 7/2124% 5/2124% 5/2129% 5/17-
RA#329% 6/21#233% 7/2114% 3/2129% 6/21#143% 9/2129% 6/2119% 4/2119% 4/2124% 4/17-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.