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Final
2024-03-2703:05Sloan Park
7-2
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals1210011017140
Cubs001000100262

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 5%
Cubs scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 72% · Season 68% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
58%
-5pp
7–9 Late
52%
-3pp
F5 first five
64%
+3pp
F9 full game
59%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
0817263510281221322218325144595815618167102281399ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 133Runs Allowed 144

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
0102131423361122121526313204282952012612217221281199ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 166Runs Allowed 156
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR24% 7/29#141% 12/29#338% 11/29#241% 12/2910% 3/2910% 3/2934% 10/2910% 3/2932% 8/25-
RA#148% 14/2928% 8/2931% 9/2931% 9/2921% 6/2928% 8/29#238% 11/2931% 9/29#333% 8/24-
CubsR#136% 12/3324% 8/3324% 8/33#333% 11/33#236% 12/3327% 9/3324% 8/3333% 11/3330% 7/23-
RA12% 4/33#139% 13/33#239% 13/33#330% 10/3330% 10/3327% 9/3327% 9/3319% 6/3223% 6/26-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.