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Final
2024-03-2609:40Petco Park
4-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Mariners scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.4
Mariners scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 78% · Season 69% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
71%
+8pp
7–9 Late
48%
-7pp
F5 first five
66%
+4pp
F9 full game
61%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
011233547231713118220233311442117515376161872019814169ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 191Runs Allowed 179

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
06132027918111102116315847125162161267658769ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 94Runs Allowed 92
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#340% 12/3040% 12/3020% 6/30#153% 16/30#247% 14/3027% 8/3030% 9/3030% 9/3025% 6/24-
RA23% 7/3033% 10/30#337% 11/3027% 8/3027% 8/30#157% 17/3027% 8/3027% 8/30#240% 10/25-
PadresR30% 6/2030% 6/20#235% 7/20#145% 9/2015% 3/20#335% 7/2025% 5/2025% 5/2031% 5/16-
RA#330% 6/20#235% 7/2010% 2/2025% 5/20#145% 9/2030% 6/2020% 4/2020% 4/2019% 3/16-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.