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Final
2024-03-2604:05Sloan Park
6-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals0100023006100
Cubs110010000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 5%
Cubs scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 75% · Season 70% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
-5pp
7–9 Late
55%
-1pp
F5 first five
63%
+1pp
F9 full game
59%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
0817253410271211222218325144585615615167102281399ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 127Runs Allowed 141

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
0102030403261112021526313204272952010612187221281199ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 163Runs Allowed 150
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR25% 7/28#239% 11/28#339% 11/28#143% 12/2811% 3/287% 2/2832% 9/2811% 3/2833% 8/24-
RA#146% 13/2825% 7/2832% 9/2832% 9/2818% 5/2829% 8/28#239% 11/2832% 9/28#335% 8/23-
CubsR#134% 11/3222% 7/3225% 8/32#234% 11/32#334% 11/3228% 9/3225% 8/3234% 11/3232% 7/22-
RA12% 4/32#238% 12/32#141% 13/32#331% 10/3231% 10/3225% 8/3225% 8/3219% 6/3124% 6/25-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.