Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-03-2501:10Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mets

Away

1-5

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	2
Marlins	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 35%

Marlins scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 26%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-7pp

7–9 Late

43%

-13pp

F5 first five

55%

-6pp

F9 full game

52%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 110Runs Allowed 101

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

26 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 95Runs Allowed 116

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	15% 4/27	#330% 8/27	22% 6/27	26% 7/27	#233% 9/27	27% 7/26	23% 6/26	27% 7/26	#135% 7/20	-
Mets	RA	26% 7/27	#230% 8/27	#133% 9/27	19% 5/27	#330% 8/27	23% 6/26	15% 4/26	23% 6/26	10% 2/20	-
Marlins	R	#231% 8/26	#331% 8/26	#138% 10/26	19% 5/26	23% 6/26	27% 7/26	27% 7/26	15% 4/26	20% 5/25	-
Marlins	RA	23% 6/26	#135% 9/26	#331% 8/26	23% 6/26	31% 8/26	#235% 9/26	31% 8/26	12% 3/26	25% 6/24	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.