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Final
2024-03-2501:10Clover Park
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Mets
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Nationals000010000162
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
-2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-12pp
F5 first five
59%
-3pp
F9 full game
54%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
07152230141711514219143112342417518146812719381299ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 140Runs Allowed 123

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
0511172371111012215143101341813517156105716118779ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 101
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR30% 8/27#237% 10/2726% 7/2726% 7/27#141% 11/2730% 8/2719% 5/2730% 8/27#336% 8/22-
RA#330% 8/2730% 8/2726% 7/27#141% 11/2730% 8/2726% 7/27#233% 9/2711% 3/2725% 6/24-
MetsR15% 4/27#330% 8/2722% 6/2726% 7/27#233% 9/2727% 7/2623% 6/2627% 7/26#135% 7/20-
RA26% 7/27#230% 8/27#133% 9/2719% 5/27#330% 8/2723% 6/2615% 4/2623% 6/2610% 2/20-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.