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Final
2024-03-1704:05Sloan Park
Royals
Away
6-7
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Royals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.4
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.9
Royals scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 54%
Opponent allowing 14%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Royals defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 65% · Season 70% · -5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+0pp
7–9 Late
52%
-2pp
F5 first five
60%
-1pp
F9 full game
57%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
05111622146117142121331374714515116111774781069ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 103Runs Allowed 95

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
07142128186110172914381442213513669871468669ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 109Runs Allowed 90
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RoyalsR#238% 8/21#338% 8/2124% 5/2138% 8/2129% 6/2138% 8/2133% 7/2110% 2/21#150% 7/14-
RA14% 3/21#329% 6/2129% 6/2129% 6/21#133% 7/2124% 5/21#233% 7/2119% 4/2125% 4/16-
CubsR32% 7/2227% 6/2218% 4/2232% 7/22#136% 8/2232% 7/2223% 5/22#236% 8/22#336% 5/14-
RA18% 4/22#145% 10/22#241% 9/22#332% 7/2223% 5/2223% 5/2223% 5/2214% 3/2119% 3/16-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.