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Final
2024-03-1606:10Clover Park
7-3
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals100030030761
Mets2000000103100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 28%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 17%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 26%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 18%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 37% · RA 28%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 22% · RA 37%
Sample 18Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 62% · Season 62% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-11pp
7–9 Late
47%
-7pp
F5 first five
50%
-11pp
F9 full game
49%
-10pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0491318711110132149381141475141068871128549ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 91Runs Allowed 75

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
037111545148212735541155366847748579ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 59Runs Allowed 51
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR16% 3/19#137% 7/1926% 5/1926% 5/19#237% 7/19#337% 7/1926% 5/1926% 5/1927% 4/15-
RA26% 5/19#137% 7/1926% 5/19#237% 7/1926% 5/1926% 5/19#337% 7/1911% 2/1919% 3/16-
MetsR11% 2/1822% 4/1822% 4/1822% 4/18#233% 6/1818% 3/17#324% 4/1724% 4/17#142% 5/12-
RA17% 3/18#128% 5/18#222% 4/1811% 2/1817% 3/18#318% 3/1718% 3/1718% 3/1715% 2/13-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.