Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-03-1101:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches

Marlins

Away

3-0

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	5	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 46%

Opponent allowing 43%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.7

Marlins scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 23%

Opponent allowing 23%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 38%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 17%

Opponent allowing 50%

Astros scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Astros defense

45%R 46% · RA 43%

Astros offense × Marlins defense

30%R 29% · RA 31%

Sample 13Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 74% · Season 74% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

41%

-21pp

7–9 Late

53%

-2pp

F5 first five

49%

-13pp

F9 full game

50%

-9pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 37Runs Allowed 51

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 59Runs Allowed 52

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#323% 3/13	23% 3/13	#146% 6/13	15% 2/13	8% 1/13	15% 2/13	23% 3/13	#231% 4/13	17% 2/12	-
Marlins	RA	8% 1/13	23% 3/13	31% 4/13	15% 2/13	#138% 5/13	#238% 5/13	#338% 5/13	8% 1/13	25% 3/12	-
Astros	R	#229% 4/14	#329% 4/14	29% 4/14	14% 2/14	21% 3/14	23% 3/13	#131% 4/13	23% 3/13	20% 2/10	-
Astros	RA	21% 3/14	29% 4/14	#243% 6/14	21% 3/14	21% 3/14	15% 2/13	23% 3/13	#331% 4/13	#150% 5/10	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.