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Final
2024-03-1001:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
4-9
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals010002100493
Astros41021010X9151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 46%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 56%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 23%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 33%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
36%R 25% · RA 46%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
36%R 31% · RA 42%
Sample 12Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 72% · Season 72% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-16pp
7–9 Late
53%
-2pp
F5 first five
53%
-9pp
F9 full game
52%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games
0371115741610212935341055696257518449ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 57Runs Allowed 50

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games
04913187419428143134455736527568479ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 50Runs Allowed 48
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR25% 3/12#233% 4/1225% 3/12#333% 4/12#142% 5/1225% 3/1217% 2/1225% 3/1230% 3/10-
RA17% 2/12#233% 4/12#142% 5/1217% 2/1225% 3/12#333% 4/1233% 4/128% 1/1230% 3/10-
AstrosR23% 3/1323% 3/13#131% 4/138% 1/1315% 2/13#225% 3/12#325% 3/1225% 3/1220% 2/10-
RA23% 3/1323% 3/13#246% 6/1323% 3/1323% 3/138% 1/1217% 2/12#333% 4/12#156% 5/9-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.