Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-2506:45Nationals Park

Royals

Away

1-0

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	8	0
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.8

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Nationals defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Nationals offense × Royals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

48%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 719Runs Allowed 633

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 743

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	28% 43/156	25% 39/156	26% 40/156	#228% 44/156	#328% 44/156	#135% 55/155	28% 43/155	25% 39/155	24% 28/115	70% 7/10
Royals	RA	23% 36/156	21% 32/156	24% 37/156	#130% 47/156	20% 31/156	26% 41/155	#228% 43/155	#327% 42/155	21% 26/122	80% 8/10
Nationals	R	20% 31/156	25% 39/156	#229% 46/156	#328% 44/156	27% 42/156	25% 39/156	23% 36/156	24% 37/156	#131% 38/123	53% 10/19
Nationals	RA	24% 38/156	#133% 51/156	29% 46/156	25% 39/156	28% 43/156	#330% 47/156	24% 38/156	#231% 48/156	24% 29/119	74% 14/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.