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Final
2024-09-2302:20Wrigley Field
Nationals
Away
0-5
Cubs
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Cubs20030000X570

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 17%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-5pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
033671011356070163108282833847446879570916656175882869589193210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 638Runs Allowed 738

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
029588711778591857227871363904918257963686607639387148915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 709Runs Allowed 647
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 31/15525% 39/155#230% 46/155#328% 44/15527% 42/15525% 39/15523% 36/15524% 37/155#131% 38/12253% 10/19
RA24% 37/155#133% 51/15530% 46/15525% 38/15528% 43/155#330% 47/15525% 38/155#231% 48/15524% 29/11974% 14/19
CubsR26% 41/15526% 40/155#228% 44/15524% 37/15526% 41/155#327% 42/15526% 40/15525% 38/155#131% 37/12162% 8/13
RA21% 33/15526% 40/15525% 38/155#128% 44/155#228% 43/15520% 31/15521% 32/155#328% 43/15523% 28/12246% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.