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Final
2024-09-2301:40Tropicana Field
3-4
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 13%
Rays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 46%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
21%R 29% · RA 13%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
34%R 21% · RA 46%
Sample 13Combined vs league +5pp
Last 20 55% · Season 58% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
37%
-18pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
40%
-14pp
F9 full game
44%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
03162931258976184612857535758472100584886596375890850799111210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 649Runs Allowed 702

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0295989119687416757268613557245495567746717476369853489191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 585Runs Allowed 641
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 39/155#326% 41/155#230% 47/15525% 38/15523% 35/155#131% 48/15426% 40/15421% 33/15426% 32/12153% 8/15
RA28% 43/15521% 33/15527% 42/15522% 34/15531% 48/155#232% 49/15423% 35/154#331% 48/154#136% 43/11947% 7/15
RaysR#327% 42/15526% 40/155#230% 46/15519% 29/15518% 28/15525% 39/15525% 38/15526% 40/155#131% 37/12165% 15/23
RA#229% 45/15523% 36/15523% 36/15526% 41/155#130% 46/155#328% 44/15525% 38/15522% 34/15522% 27/12261% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.