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Final
2024-09-2204:10Tropicana Field
2-3
Rays
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Blue Jays000010100290
Rays01200000X370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 13%
Rays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 46%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 57% · Season 50% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
37%
-18pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
40%
-14pp
F9 full game
44%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03162931258976184602857335758471100584886586375890850799111210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 647Runs Allowed 699

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0295988118687416657266613557245494567746717376369853489191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 582Runs Allowed 639
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 39/15427% 41/154#231% 47/15425% 38/15422% 34/154#131% 48/15325% 39/15322% 33/153#327% 32/12053% 8/15
RA28% 43/15421% 32/15427% 41/15422% 34/15431% 48/154#232% 49/15323% 35/153#331% 48/153#136% 43/11947% 7/15
RaysR#327% 42/15425% 39/154#229% 45/15419% 29/15418% 28/15425% 39/15425% 38/15426% 40/154#131% 37/12165% 15/23
RA#129% 45/15423% 36/15423% 36/15427% 41/154#229% 45/154#329% 44/15424% 37/15422% 34/15422% 27/12161% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.