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Final
2024-09-2202:20Wrigley Field
5-1
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals0100040005120
Cubs000000100120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 22%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
033671011356070162108282833847446879566916656075882869589193210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 633Runs Allowed 737

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
029588711778591857127871363904918257959685607639387148915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 708Runs Allowed 642
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 31/15425% 38/154#230% 46/154#329% 44/15427% 42/15425% 38/15423% 36/15424% 37/154#131% 38/12153% 10/19
RA24% 37/154#133% 51/15430% 46/15425% 38/15428% 43/154#331% 47/15424% 37/154#231% 48/15425% 29/11874% 14/19
CubsR27% 41/15426% 40/154#229% 44/15424% 37/15427% 41/154#327% 42/15425% 39/15425% 38/154#131% 37/12062% 8/13
RA21% 33/15425% 39/15425% 38/154#129% 44/154#228% 43/15419% 30/15421% 32/154#328% 43/15423% 28/12146% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.