Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-2201:10Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

1-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	7	0
Reds	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	0	X	7	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

51%

+0pp

F5 first five

49%

-5pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 639Runs Allowed 707

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 686Runs Allowed 676

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	22% 34/154	21% 33/154	20% 31/154	27% 42/154	#328% 43/154	#229% 44/154	23% 36/154	21% 33/154	#129% 36/123	68% 15/22
Pirates	RA	27% 41/154	20% 31/154	28% 43/154	29% 44/154	#234% 52/154	#330% 46/154	21% 32/154	24% 37/154	#135% 42/119	64% 14/22
Reds	R	26% 40/155	25% 38/155	#231% 48/155	#328% 44/155	#132% 50/155	25% 38/155	24% 37/155	19% 29/155	22% 27/120	40% 4/10
Reds	RA	25% 38/155	21% 32/155	#330% 46/155	25% 38/155	29% 45/155	#132% 49/155	#231% 48/155	23% 36/155	26% 32/121	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.