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Final
2024-09-2106:50Tropicana Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 46%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
33%R 20% · RA 46%
Sample 13Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 61% · Season 58% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
38%
-17pp
7–9 Late
52%
+1pp
F5 first five
44%
-10pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
03162931258976184602857335758471100584876586375890850799111210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 647Runs Allowed 698

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0295988118687416657266613557245494566746717376369853489191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 581Runs Allowed 639
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 39/15327% 41/153#231% 47/15325% 38/15322% 34/153#132% 48/15226% 39/15222% 33/152#327% 32/11953% 8/15
RA28% 43/15321% 32/15327% 41/15322% 34/15331% 48/153#232% 48/15223% 35/152#332% 48/152#136% 43/11947% 7/15
RaysR#327% 42/15325% 39/153#229% 45/15319% 29/15318% 28/15325% 38/15325% 38/15326% 40/153#131% 37/12165% 15/23
RA#129% 45/15324% 36/15324% 36/15327% 41/153#229% 45/153#329% 44/15324% 37/15322% 34/15322% 27/12061% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.