Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-2106:40Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

3-8

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	9	0
Reds	1	0	4	3	0	0	0	0	X	8	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+7pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 636Runs Allowed 699

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 678Runs Allowed 673

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	22% 34/153	22% 33/153	20% 31/153	27% 42/153	#328% 43/153	#129% 44/153	23% 35/153	22% 33/153	#229% 35/122	68% 15/22
Pirates	RA	26% 40/153	20% 31/153	27% 42/153	28% 43/153	#234% 52/153	#330% 46/153	21% 32/153	24% 37/153	#135% 42/119	64% 14/22
Reds	R	25% 39/154	25% 38/154	#231% 47/154	#328% 43/154	#132% 50/154	25% 38/154	24% 37/154	19% 29/154	22% 27/120	40% 4/10
Reds	RA	25% 38/154	21% 32/154	#330% 46/154	25% 38/154	29% 45/154	#132% 49/154	#231% 47/154	23% 36/154	26% 31/120	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.