Sportify
Final
2024-09-2102:20Wrigley Field
Nationals
Away
1-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 22%
Cubs scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-3pp
7–9 Late
58%
+7pp
F5 first five
61%
+7pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
033671011356069162108282833847446879566916655875782869589193210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 632Runs Allowed 734

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
028578611577591857127871363904918257959683607639287148915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 705Runs Allowed 641
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 31/15325% 38/153#230% 46/153#329% 44/15327% 42/15325% 38/15324% 36/15324% 36/153#132% 38/12053% 10/19
RA24% 36/153#133% 51/15330% 46/15325% 38/15328% 43/153#331% 47/15324% 36/153#231% 48/15325% 29/11874% 14/19
CubsR26% 40/15326% 40/153#229% 44/15324% 37/15327% 41/153#327% 42/15325% 38/15325% 38/153#131% 37/12062% 8/13
RA22% 33/15325% 39/15325% 38/153#129% 44/153#228% 43/15320% 30/15321% 32/153#327% 42/15323% 28/12046% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.