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Final
2024-09-2007:40Wrigley Field
6-7
Cubs
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Nationals1020030006130
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 28%
Cubs scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 43% · RA 28%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
39%R 41% · RA 38%
Sample 14Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 75% · Season 55% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
033671011355968162108280813847446877563916655675782869589193210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 626Runs Allowed 727

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
028578611576581857127669363904898257956681607639287148915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 698Runs Allowed 635
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 30/15225% 38/152#230% 45/152#329% 44/15228% 42/15224% 37/15224% 36/15224% 36/152#132% 38/11953% 10/19
RA23% 35/152#134% 51/15230% 45/15225% 38/15228% 42/152#331% 47/15223% 35/152#232% 48/15225% 29/11874% 14/19
CubsR26% 39/15226% 40/152#228% 43/15224% 37/15226% 40/152#328% 42/15224% 37/15225% 38/152#131% 37/12062% 8/13
RA21% 32/15226% 39/15224% 37/152#129% 44/152#228% 43/15219% 29/15221% 32/152#328% 42/15224% 28/11946% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.