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Final
2024-09-2007:15Citi Field
6-10
Mets
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Phillies002100300680
Mets20250010X10110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 5%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
41%R 53% · RA 29%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
33%R 36% · RA 29%
Sample 14Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 74% · Season 60% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
45%
-9pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
033671011359660168622758439254477755108716777177070856549141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 733Runs Allowed 615

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
033671011356251171652798239364410874593756446479181865579243310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 730Runs Allowed 646
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#136% 55/15224% 37/15230% 45/15229% 44/15230% 46/152#233% 50/152#332% 49/15224% 37/15232% 35/11055% 12/22
RA26% 39/15223% 35/152#132% 48/15220% 30/152#228% 43/15225% 38/15227% 41/15224% 36/152#327% 34/12545% 10/22
MetsR24% 36/15226% 39/15228% 42/152#329% 44/152#132% 48/15228% 43/15217% 26/15229% 44/152#229% 35/12048% 10/21
RA20% 30/152#328% 43/15227% 41/15220% 31/152#231% 47/15227% 41/15224% 37/15227% 41/152#131% 38/12262% 13/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.