Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1907:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

0-10

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0
Mets	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	1	X	10	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 29%

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

36%R 43% · RA 29%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

34%R 33% · RA 35%

Sample 14Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-4pp

7–9 Late

57%

+6pp

F5 first five

49%

-5pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 626Runs Allowed 717

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 720Runs Allowed 646

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	20% 30/151	25% 38/151	#230% 45/151	#329% 44/151	28% 42/151	25% 37/151	24% 36/151	24% 36/151	#132% 38/118	53% 10/19
Nationals	RA	23% 35/151	#134% 51/151	30% 45/151	25% 37/151	28% 42/151	#231% 47/151	23% 35/151	#331% 47/151	25% 29/118	74% 14/19
Mets	R	24% 36/151	26% 39/151	28% 42/151	#328% 43/151	#132% 48/151	28% 43/151	17% 26/151	28% 43/151	#229% 35/120	48% 10/21
Mets	RA	20% 30/151	#328% 43/151	27% 41/151	21% 31/151	#231% 47/151	27% 41/151	25% 37/151	27% 41/151	#131% 38/121	62% 13/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.