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Final
2024-09-1906:40Petco Park
Astros
Away
0-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.9
Astros scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 29%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 27%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Astros defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
47%
-7pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
033669913368961526728069310441466685106796944477565834579161610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 602

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0306192123917917079256663789549851581716894979767842699201010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 722Runs Allowed 636
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR27% 41/15122% 33/151#330% 45/151#135% 53/15125% 38/151#232% 48/15125% 38/15126% 40/15119% 22/11553% 10/19
RA#229% 44/15123% 34/15123% 34/15120% 30/15126% 40/151#130% 45/15121% 31/151#327% 41/15125% 30/12263% 12/19
PadresR#330% 46/15224% 37/15222% 33/15226% 40/152#132% 49/15226% 39/15229% 44/152#232% 49/15220% 24/12083% 10/12
RA#231% 47/15226% 39/15222% 33/152#132% 48/15216% 25/15224% 37/15222% 34/15224% 37/152#328% 35/12742% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.