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Final
2024-09-1809:40Petco Park
Astros
Away
4-3
Padres
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Padres0000020100360

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.9
Astros scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 29%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 27%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Astros defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
58%
+7pp
F5 first five
48%
-7pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
033669913368961526728069310241466685106776944477464834579151610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 691Runs Allowed 599

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
030619212391791707925666378934985157971689497966684269920910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 719Runs Allowed 632
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR27% 41/15022% 33/150#330% 45/150#135% 52/15025% 38/150#232% 48/15025% 38/15026% 39/15019% 22/11450% 9/18
RA#129% 44/15023% 34/15023% 34/15020% 30/150#327% 40/150#229% 44/15021% 31/15027% 40/15025% 30/12167% 12/18
PadresR#330% 46/15125% 37/15122% 33/15126% 40/151#132% 49/15125% 38/15129% 44/151#232% 48/15120% 24/11991% 10/11
RA#131% 47/15126% 39/15122% 33/151#231% 47/15117% 25/15125% 37/15123% 34/15124% 36/151#328% 35/12636% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.