Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1807:45Busch Stadium

Pirates

Away

1-3

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	3
Cardinals	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	X	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 19%

Cardinals scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 56%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cardinals defense

31%R 43% · RA 19%

Cardinals offense × Pirates defense

41%R 27% · RA 56%

Sample 14Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

53%

-1pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 627Runs Allowed 684

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 611Runs Allowed 674

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	23% 34/150	21% 32/150	21% 31/150	27% 40/150	#229% 43/150	#329% 43/150	23% 34/150	21% 32/150	#129% 35/119	68% 15/22
Pirates	RA	27% 40/150	20% 30/150	27% 40/150	27% 41/150	#235% 52/150	#330% 45/150	21% 31/150	24% 36/150	#136% 42/118	64% 14/22
Cardinals	R	22% 33/150	25% 37/150	#134% 51/150	25% 37/150	27% 40/150	25% 37/150	#327% 41/150	#228% 42/150	25% 29/114	62% 15/24
Cardinals	RA	25% 37/150	26% 39/150	27% 40/150	21% 32/150	#135% 52/150	#230% 45/150	#327% 41/150	21% 31/150	20% 23/117	58% 14/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.