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Final
2024-09-1807:10Citi Field
1-10
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals001000000140
Mets00411301X10141

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
43%R 50% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 31% · RA 33%
Sample 14Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-8pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
46%
-8pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
033671011355968162108279773846446876563886655675780869589193210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 625Runs Allowed 707

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
033671001346251171652758138364410774590756446478981865579243310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 710Runs Allowed 645
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 30/15025% 38/150#229% 44/150#329% 44/15028% 42/15025% 37/15024% 36/15024% 36/150#132% 38/11753% 10/19
RA23% 35/150#134% 51/15029% 44/15024% 36/15027% 41/150#231% 46/15023% 35/150#331% 46/15025% 29/11874% 14/19
MetsR24% 36/15026% 39/15027% 41/150#328% 42/150#131% 47/15028% 42/15017% 26/15028% 42/150#229% 35/12048% 10/21
RA20% 30/150#329% 43/15027% 40/15021% 31/150#231% 47/15027% 41/15025% 37/15027% 41/150#132% 38/12062% 13/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.